MidMarketBench
Closed-book

Red flag detection

Identify the ten most important diligence risks. Rank them by severity and support each with packet evidence and a diligence action.

Expected output

  • Ranked risk
  • Severity
  • Evidence
  • Why it matters
  • Diligence action

What good looks like

  • Ranks by decision impact
  • Connects evidence across files
  • Distinguishes company-specific issues from generic PE risks

System prompt

You are assisting a European lower-mid-market B2B software private equity investment team. Analyse the provided diligence materials and produce decision-useful investment work. Ground all claims in the materials. Clearly separate facts, inferences and open questions. Do not invent unsupported facts. Prioritise commercial judgement over generic summary.

Failure modes

Generic risk list

Repeats headline NRR as a strength

Misses concentration or services contamination

No actionable next step

Evaluation status

Representative strong and weak examples are available below.

Representative outputs

Same packet. Different judgement.

strong sample

GPT-5.5

G 90CJ 88Sc 89Num 86Risk 90Q 86EU 84Use 88

Ranked diligence risks

  1. NRR quality: Headline NRR of 118 percent is not broad-based. FY25 expansion of €1.9m includes roughly €1.1m from one automotive account and €0.5m from CPI uplift, leaving about €0.3m of seat and module expansion. Action: decompose expansion by account, module, seat and price over three years.
  2. Services contamination: Services are about 28 percent of revenue at roughly 20 percent gross margin. Action: restate software-only economics and test whether implementation can be productised.
  3. Customer concentration: Account A is 11.7 percent of ARR; the top ten are 41.8 percent. Action: review renewal dates, contract protection and switching costs for the top ten.
  4. Geographic repeatability: Product-market fit is DACH-proven. UK and Benelux remain early and fragmented. Action: separate pipeline, win rate, implementation cost and retention by country.
  5. TAM overreach: The €14bn figure is a broad category. The reachable market is regulated mid-market manufacturers with multi-site audit workflows, plausibly €0.6bn to €0.9bn. Action: rebuild from target sites and ACV.

The central question is whether durable, usage-led expansion exists once price and one-off enterprise effects are removed.

Evaluator rationale: Grounds each issue in the packet, ranks by decision impact and proposes a specific diligence action.

weak sample

GPT-5.2 Pro

G 62CJ 55Sc 52Num 58Risk 57Q 60EU 54Use 64

Key risks

  1. Competition in the compliance software market is intense.
  2. Customer churn is a risk for SaaS businesses.
  3. There is key-person risk in the founder-led structure.
  4. Macroeconomic conditions in Europe could affect growth.
  5. Execution risk exists around the AI roadmap.

Overall, the company shows strong momentum with 118 percent NRR and a large €14bn market opportunity.

Evaluator rationale: Lists generic risks, accepts headline NRR and TAM, and misses the packet's most decision-relevant contradictions.